The exit polls for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections in India suggest a highly competitive and dynamic political landscape. As the final voting phase concluded, predictions indicated significant performances by various parties. The I.N.D.I.A Bloc led by Congress is projected to make substantial gains, especially in key states. The BJP-led NDA, while facing challenges in certain regions, still shows strongholds in others. Based on extensive voter surveys and data analysis by leading poll agencies, these projections provide an early glimpse into the potential outcomes of one of the world’s largest democratic exercises.
The exit polls for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections in India suggest varying outcomes across different states and regions, with significant insights provided by several key polling agencies:
- India Today-Axis My India:
- The NDA is projected to win between 295 and 335 seats nationwide, while the I.N.D.I.A bloc could secure between 165 and 205 seats. This indicates a strong showing for the BJP-led NDA, maintaining a significant lead over the opposition.
- News18:
- The News18 poll suggests the NDA may win 364 seats, emphasizing a resounding victory for the BJP-led alliance. The I.N.D.I.A bloc is expected to capture around 165 seats, reflecting a notable opposition presence but not enough to challenge the NDA’s majority.
- ABP-CVoter:
- This poll indicates that the NDA will likely win approximately 310 seats, with the I.N.D.I.A bloc gaining around 130 seats. The data points to strong regional variations, with the NDA performing exceptionally well in states like Gujarat and Karnataka.
- Aaj Tak:
- According to Aaj Tak’s exit poll, the BJP-led NDA is predicted to dominate with a significant seat count, potentially securing a third consecutive term for Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The Congress-led I.N.D.I.A bloc, while showing strength in certain states, is not expected to surpass the NDA’s tally.
- Statewise Predictions:
- Punjab: The I.N.D.I.A bloc is predicted to win 8-11 seats, with the BJP securing 2-4 seats.
- Karnataka: The NDA could win 22-25 seats, while the I.N.D.I.A bloc might secure 4-6 seats.
- Gujarat: The NDA is projected to win all 26 seats.
- Tamil Nadu: The I.N.D.I.A bloc is expected to win 30-39 seats, with minimal gains for the BJP
These exit poll results highlight the competitive and diverse electoral landscape of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, reflecting regional strengths and the overall political climate in India. For detailed results and further updates, you can follow platforms like India Today, Aaj Tak, and News18.
Statewise predictions for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections
Here are the detailed state-wise predictions for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections based on exit polls from various sources:
1. Punjab
- ABP-CVoter: I.N.D.I.A Bloc (Congress + AAP): 11, BJP: 2
- NewsX Opinion Poll: I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 7, BJP: 4, SAD: 2
- India TV: I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 9, BJP: 3, SAD: 1
- India Today-CVoter: I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 10, BJP: 2, SAD: 1
2. Karnataka
- ABP-CVoter: NDA: 23, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 5
- NewsX Opinion Poll: NDA: 22, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 6
- India TV: NDA: 24, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 4
- India Today-CVoter: NDA: 24, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 4
3. Gujarat
- NewsX Opinion Poll: NDA: 26, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 0
- India TV: NDA: 26, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 0
- Janmat Polls: NDA: 26, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 0
- ABP-CVoter: NDA: 26, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 0
- India Today-CVoter: NDA: 26, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 0
4. Jharkhand
- NewsX Opinion Poll: NDA: 12, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 2
- India TV-CNX: NDA: 13, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 1
- India Today-CVoter: NDA: 12, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 2
5. Himachal Pradesh
- India TV: BJP: 4, INC: 0
- News18: BJP: 4, INC: 0
- Janmat Polls: BJP: 4, INC: 0
- ABP-CVoter: BJP: 4, INC: 0
- India Today-CVoter: BJP: 4, INC: 0
6. Haryana
- ABP-CVoter: BJP: 9, INC: 1
- NewsX Opinion Poll: BJP: 8, INC: 2
- India TV: BJP: 10, INC: 0
- News18: BJP: 10, INC: 0
- Janmat Polls: BJP: 7, INC: 3
- TV9 Polstrat: BJP: 9, INC: 1
- India Today-CVoter: BJP: 8, INC: 2
7. Andhra Pradesh
- NewsX Opinion Poll: YSRCP: 7, TDP+BJP+JSP: 18
- India TV: YSRCP: 10, TDP+BJP+JSP: 15
- News18: YSRCP: 7, TDP+BJP+JSP: 18
- India Today-CVoter: YSRCP: 8, TDP+BJP+JSP: 17
- India TV-CNX: YSRCP: 15, TDP+BJP+JSP: 10
8. Telangana
- TV9 Polstrat: Congress: 8, BRS: 0, BJP: 7, Others: 2
- NewsX Opinion Poll: Congress: 8, BRS: 3, BJP: 5, Others: 1
- India TV: Congress: 9, BRS: 2, BJP: 5, Others: 1
- Janmat Polls: Congress: 13, BRS: 2, BJP: 1, Others: 1
- News18: Congress: 6, BRS: 8, BJP: 2, Others: 1
- South First-People Pulse: Congress: 8-10, BRS: 3-5, BJP: 2-4, Others: 0
- India Today-CVoter: Congress: 10, BRS: 3, BJP: 3, Others: 1
9. Kerala
- TV9 Polstrat: I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 17, NDA: 3
- NewsX Opinion Poll: I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 18, NDA: 2
- India TV: I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 17, NDA: 3
- News18: I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 18, NDA: 2
- The Federal-Puthiyathalaimurai-Apt 2024 Poll: I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 19, NDA: 1
- India Today-CVoter: I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 20, NDA: 0
- India TV-CNX: I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 17, NDA: 3
10. Tamil Nadu
- TV9 Polstrat: BJP: 5, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 32, Others: 2
- NewsX Opinion Poll: BJP: 4, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 31, Others: 4
- News18: BJP: 5, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 30, Others: 4
- India Today-CVoter: BJP: 0, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 39, Others: 0
- India TV-CNX: BJP: 9, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 30, Others: 0
11. Jammu & Kashmir
- NewsX Opinion Poll: BJP: 2, NC: 3
- ABP-CVoter: BJP: 2, NC: 3
12. Assam
- ABP-CVoter: BJP: 12, I.N.D.I.A: 2, AIUDF: 0, Others: 0
- NewsX Opinion Poll: BJP: 9, I.N.D.I.A: 1, AIUDF: 1, Others: 3
- India TV: BJP: 11, I.N.D.I.A: 0, AIUDF: 0, Others: 3
- News18: BJP: 12, I.N.D.I.A: 0, AIUDF: 1, Others: 1
13. Odisha
- TV9 Polstrat Poll: BJP: 14, I.N.D.I.A: 1, BJD: 6
- NewsX Opinion Poll: BJP: 14, I.N.D.I.A: 0, BJD: 7
- News18: BJP: 13, I.N.D.I.A: 0, BJD: 8
- India TV-CVoter: BJP: 10, I.N.D.I.A: 0, BJD: 11
- India TV-CNX: BJP: 10, I.N.D.I.A: 0, BJD: 11
14. Uttarakhand
- NewsX Opinion Poll: BJP: 5, I.N.D.I.A: 0, Others: 0
- India TV: BJP: 5, I.N.D.I.A: 0, Others: 0
- News18: BJP: 5, I.N.D.I.A: 0, Others: 0
- ABP-CVoter: BJP: 5, I.N.D.I.A: 0, Others: 0
- India TV-CVoter: BJP: 5, I.N.D.I.A: 0, Others: 0
15. North East (Overall)
- NewsX Opinion Poll: NDA: 19, I.N.D.I.A: 4, AIUDF: 2
- India TV Opinion Poll: NDA: 21, I.N.D.I.A: 3, AIUDF: 1
16. Rajasthan
- NewsX Opinion Poll: Not specified
- India TV: Not specified
- News18: Not specified
- ABP-CVoter: Not specified
- India Today-CVoter: BJP: 25 seats
17. Uttar Pradesh
- NewsX Opinion Poll: Not specified
- India TV: Not specified
- News18: Not specified
- ABP-CVoter: Not specified
- India Today-CVoter: BJP: 72, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 8
18. West Bengal
- NewsX Opinion Poll: Not specified
- India TV: Not specified
- News18: Not specified
- ABP-CVoter: Not specified
- India Today-CVoter: TMC: 22, BJP: 9
19. Delhi
- NewsX Opinion Poll: Not specified
- India TV: BJP: 7
- News18: Not specified
- ABP-CVoter: Not specified
- India Today-CVoter: BJP: 7
20. Maharashtra
- NewsX Opinion Poll: Not specified
- India TV: Not specified
- News18: Not specified
- ABP-CVoter: Not specified
- India Today-CVoter: I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 26, BJP-Shiv Sena (Shinde)-NCP (Ajit Pawar): 22
21. Madhya Pradesh
- NewsX Opinion Poll: Not specified
- India TV: Not specified
- News18: Not specified
- ABP-CVoter: Not specified
- India Today-CVoter: BJP: 27, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 2
22. Bihar
- NewsX Opinion Poll: NDA: 28, I.N.D.I.A Bloc: 12
- India TV: Not specified
- News18: Not specified
- ABP-CVoter: Not specified
- India Today-CVoter: Not specified
Poll analyst Prashant Kishor has urged the public to avoid wasting their time on “fake journalists,” “loudmouth politicians,” and social media experts. This statement comes after exit polls projected a landslide victory for the BJP-led NDA in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Kishor, known for his sharp political strategies and insights, emphasized the need for people to focus on credible information sources rather than getting swayed by sensationalist media and unverified social media commentary. His remarks highlight a growing concern about misinformation and the importance of relying on trusted, factual news during critical elections.
What Various Leader Says about Exit Poll
- Prime Minister Narendra Modi: The BJP-led NDA is projected to win by a significant margin, which Modi’s supporters attribute to his leadership and government policies. Modi himself has remained focused on governance, thanking the public for their support and urging them to wait for the final results
- Rahul Gandhi: The Congress leader has downplayed the exit polls, suggesting that they often do not accurately reflect the final results. He has encouraged his supporters to remain hopeful and wait for the official count, reiterating that the fight is not over yet
- Arvind Kejriwal: The AAP leader has criticized the exit polls, calling them biased and influenced. He has asked his party workers to stay vigilant and prepare for any eventuality, emphasizing the importance of safeguarding the democratic process
- Mamata Banerjee: The West Bengal Chief Minister and Trinamool Congress leader has also questioned the accuracy of the exit polls, which predict a strong showing for her party in the state. She has called for unity among opposition parties and stressed the need to wait for the official results before drawing any conclusions
- Prashant Kishor: The poll analyst has urged the public to disregard “fake journalists,” “loudmouth politicians,” and social media experts who are prematurely celebrating the projected outcomes. He has highlighted the importance of relying on credible sources and waiting for results.
- Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge said the INDIA bloc has arrived at the 295-plus seat figure after feedback from people, which he termed “people’s survey”. However, exit polls consistently projected the NDA to win over 350 seats, far exceeding Kharge’s prediction.
- Union Home Minister Amit Shah accused the Congress of being in ‘denial mode’ after the party announced it would boycott exit poll debates. Shah expressed confidence in the BJP’s position, stating they already had the numbers to form the next government.
- Sharad Pawar, a prominent Opposition leader, suggested a possible restructuring of opposition politics after the 2024 elections, hinting at regional parties aligning more closely or merging with the Congress.
The above data is collected from various sources, including India Today, News18, ABP News, NewsX, and other major news outlets. While we have made efforts to ensure the accuracy of the information, we do not take responsibility for any errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in the data. The predictions and projections are based on exit polls and are subject to change. Please refer to the original sources for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
